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72/100 · High — +1 pts WoW.
This scoring cycle is marked by multi-axis stress. The Korean won has breached KRW 1,530/USD for the first time since the Global Financial Crisis, triggering verbal intervention from South Korean financial authorities. Bank of Japan is reportedly mulling a June rate hike. The Federal Reserve maintains a hawkish posture given sticky US inflation. The EU is advancing a new sanctions tranche targeting four Chinese entities linked to Russia's shadow fleet and drone supply chain. Sri Lanka's IMF Extended Fund Facility disbursed USD 695 million. The Trump Administration is pursuing broad "forced labour" tariff rationales against 60+ nations including Australia and Nigeria. Argentina's BCRA dollar accumulation has surpassed its USD 10 billion target.
| Axis | Score | Band | WoW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sovereign Credit & Default | 6/10 | Elevated | → no change |
| FX & Currency | 8/10 | High | ▲ +1 |
| Sanctions & Capital Flows | 7/10 | High | ▼ -1 |
| Central Bank Policy | 7/10 | High | → no change |
| Trade & BoP | 8/10 | High | ▲ +1 |
▼ -6 WoW
Brief pending next cycle.
▼ -7 WoW
Brief pending next cycle.
▼ -8 WoW
Brief pending next cycle.
▼ -7 WoW
Brief pending next cycle.
▼ -7 WoW
Brief pending next cycle.
No named disruption events reported in this cycle.
Outlook pending next cycle.